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Three-Point Rate Calculator

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Profi-Tipp

When evaluating whether a team should increase its three-point rate, calculate the team's effective points per three-point attempt versus per two-point attempt: Team 3P% × 3 vs Team 2P% × 2. If the three-point product exceeds the two-point product, the team should shift more attempts to three. The average NBA team in 2024 generates approximately 1.09 points per three-point attempt and 1.02 points per two-point attempt — a meaningful edge for three-pointers on average.

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The Houston Rockets under Mike D'Antoni and James Harden took the three-point revolution to its logical extreme in 2018-19, leading the league with 45.3 three-point attempts per game (3PAr of .510) while simultaneously avoiding mid-range two-pointers almost entirely — they attempted fewer mid-range shots than any team in NBA history, representing the most extreme application of shot-quality analysis in basketball history.

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Reviewed May 2026
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