Example 1Corporate Treasury: 1-Day Liquidity Risk
Given:Portfolio $5M, mean return 0.02%, volatility 0.8%, 95% confidence
Резултат:1-Day 95% VaR = $64,800
A clear, actionable figure for daily liquidity management.
With a $5M portfolio, the calculated 1-day 95% VaR is $64,800. This indicates that the treasurer can report to the CFO that there is a 95% probability that daily market moves will not erode more than $64,800 in value, providing a clear boundary for cash flow planning.
Example 2SaaS Firm: Investment Portfolio Risk
Given:Corporate cash portfolio $10M, volatility 1.5%, 99% confidence, 10-day horizon
Резултат:10-Day 99% VaR = $1,102,630
Scaling volatility over a 10-day window for longer-term planning.
Using the square-root-of-time rule, the 10-day VaR captures the risk over a broader window. The result of $1,102,630 helps the finance team allocate enough capital buffer to survive a significant market downturn over a two-week period.
Example 3Private Equity: Deal-Specific Risk
Given:Investment $2M, 99% confidence, daily vol 2.5%, mean return 0.05%
Резултат:1-Day 99% VaR = $115,300
Assessing the downside of a volatile single-asset investment.
By identifying a $115,300 potential loss, the investment committee can decide if the risk-to-reward profile justifies the capital commitment, ensuring the investment aligns with the firm's overall risk tolerance.
Example 4Retail Hedge: Currency Exposure
Given:FX hedging book $500k, volatility 0.5%, 95% confidence, 1-day horizon
Резултат:1-Day 95% VaR = $4,113
Managing FX risk for international supply chain costs.
The $4,113 VaR provides the operations manager with a concrete number to include in the monthly risk report, showing the maximum likely impact of currency fluctuations on the cost of goods sold for the next trading day.